“This mission will be complex because NASA will need to coordinate across seven NASA programs, multiple contractors that support those programs, and international partners to execute the mission,” the report states. “It will also be the first launch of an upgraded version of the Space Launch System rocket.”
Developmental difficulties
The report also finds that the Gateway program is running into some pretty serious technical difficulties. One involves a defective network chip that facilitates communication throughout the lunar space station. Its failure could cause myriad problems onboard the Gateway.
“For example, these defects could lead the flight computers to unexpectedly restart,” the report states. “If the network is not functioning properly, it could result in loss of control of the Gateway. Program officials are also concerned that they might identify more defects with the communication network, based on the number found already.”
Another risk involves something called “stack controllability.” This essentially means that because SpaceX’s Lunar Starship is so much more massive than the Gateway, when it is docked to the space station, the Gateway’s power and propulsion element (PPE) will not be able to maintain a proper orientation of the entire stack.
“Program officials estimate that the mass of the lunar lander Starship is approximately 18 times greater than the value NASA used to develop the PPE’s controllability parameters,” the report states. “According to NASA’s system engineering guidance, late requirements and design changes can lead to cost growth and schedule delays.”
The report also has some sobering conclusions about the potential utility of the Lunar Gateway for Mars missions. (In the past, NASA officials have spoken about the Gateway as a staging area for spacecraft and propellant for human missions to the surface of Mars.) However, the “stack controllability” issue poses a serious constraint to hosting large Mars transit vehicles. Moreover, the planned 15-year lifetime of the Gateway may not be long enough to sustain Mars missions.
“The Gateway could have exceeded its planned 15-year on-orbit life as early as 2042 when crewed missions to Mars are potentially just beginning,” the report states.
All in all, the report seems to suggest that the Gateway is way behind schedule and is of limited use to lunar and Mars landings. The report suggests the Gateway will be complex to undertake at the very same time NASA is attempting to establish a lunar surface program. But other than that, everything is going great.
